No. 8 in our power rankings after week 5. ARI is No. 31.
Survivor Picks · 2026
Week 11 picks
1KCKansas City Chiefs
83%Win
9%Est. public
−11.5Line
The rest of week 11
- 2BUFvs MIA · Sun 1:00 PM · FOX−11.5
- 3LACvs NYJ · Sun 4:05 PM · FOX−9.5
- 4DENvs LV · Sun 4:25 PM · CBS−7.5
- 5DALvs TEN · Sun 1:00 PM · FOX−6.5
- 6CHIvs NO · Sun 1:00 PM · FOX−6.5
- 7HOUvs IND · Thu 8:15 PM · Prime Video−5.5
- 8PHIvs PIT · Sun 4:25 PM · CBS−5.5
- 9DETvs TB · Sun 1:00 PM · CBS−4.5
- 10BAL@ CAR · Sun 1:00 PM · FOX−4.5
- 11SFvs MIN · Sun 8:20 PM · NBC−3.5
- 12CIN@ WSH · Mon 8:15 PM · ESPN−1.5
- 13JAX@ NYG · Sun 1:00 PM · CBS−1.5
- 14NYGvs JAX · Sun 1:00 PM · CBS+1.5
- 15WSHvs CIN · Mon 8:15 PM · ESPN+1.5
- 16MIN@ SF · Sun 8:20 PM · NBC+3.5
- 17TB@ DET · Sun 1:00 PM · CBS+4.5
- 18CARvs BAL · Sun 1:00 PM · FOX+4.5
- 19IND@ HOU · Thu 8:15 PM · Prime Video+5.5
- 20PIT@ PHI · Sun 4:25 PM · CBS+5.5
- 21NO@ CHI · Sun 1:00 PM · FOX+6.5
- 22TEN@ DAL · Sun 1:00 PM · FOX+6.5
- 23LV@ DEN · Sun 4:25 PM · CBS+7.5
- 24NYJ@ LAC · Sun 4:05 PM · FOX+9.5
- 25ARI@ KC · Sun 1:00 PM · CBS+11.5
- 26MIA@ BUF · Sun 1:00 PM · FOX+11.5
Balanced: mostly this week's win chance, with crowd edge and the season plan settling close calls. The ranking weighs a team's win chance against how many people are expected to take them, so a team the public is off can rank ahead of a slightly safer one. The public share is our own estimate off the odds. The Est. public bar is the share of the public on each team.
Long-Term ranking lives in the planner. It plans across the weeks your pool actually runs and leaves out the teams you have already used, so it needs your grid before it can say anything true.
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